| Data: 2009-11-02 12:39:38 | |
| Autor: Me | |
| Czy wyniki wyborow sa przewidywalne ( na przykladzie NJ, USA)? | |
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INTERNET ENTRY DOES NOT SHOW THE DATE - IT WAS OCTOBER 2009
Poll Finds Corzine, Christie Tied Among Likely Voters By: NY1 News NY1 VIDEO: A new poll finds Governor Jon Corzine and Republican Chris Christie are tied among likely voters. According to the latest Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey poll, 39 percent of likely voters say they support Corzine and Christie. THE TAPE ALSO REVEALS THAT INDEPENDENT CANDIDAT DAGGER IS FAVOURED BY 14% OF VOTERS, WHICH WAS RATHER CLOSE TO THE OTHER THAN. THE ESTIMATES AR ROUGH ONLY. 1004 VOTERS WERE INTERVIEWED BY POPULaR POLSTER IN NJ. PREDICDTION CARRIES 3.1 % MARGIN OF ERROR. LETS TRY: SAMPLE ONLY: CORZINE THAN 19% - 3% ( ONE OF THE ERROR POSSIBILITIES) = 16% ( than went to 51% and down DAGGER 14% + 3 = 17%; ( than went to 22% and zig- zags). THE DIFFICULTIES WITH USING THE PREDICTIONS ARE FEW: 1. REPRESENTATIVENES OF POOL 2. POWEFULL STAKEHOLDER IN TOWN 3. TRAJECTORY ON WHICH EACH CANDIDATE EVENTUALLY STABILIZES ( HOWEVER LONG THE STATBILIZATION WILL BE - IT IS RELATIVE IN THE PICTURE OF ALL SWITCHES OF UPS AND DOWN) ( the rest is silence) ( bushland threatens me) JUTRO OGLOZENIE WYNIKOW |
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