| Data: 2011-01-03 14:03:00 | |
| Autor: Tomasz Radko | |
| [OT] Tak mi się skojarzyło | |
|
Fragment dyskusji o jednym z tegorocznych kandydatĂłw do baseballowego
HOF. Dlaczego go przytaczam w grupie o koszykówce? Zgadnijcie, koteczki. ========== You Had To Be There It’s after 5 pm here on the West Coast, and I’m watching the sunset at the beach. The sun drops, drops, drops…and it’s gone! Into the ocean! Miraculously, a brand new sun will appear, fully formed, 13 hours from now. This is roughly how Hall of Fame voters justify ignoring numbers in making their case for or against certain players. Jack Morris is a Hall of Fame pitcher because…well…you had to be there. Here’s the thing about us humans: We’re terrible at observing reality. As in the case of the setting sun, our eyes can only take us so far. Our minds are even more unreliable. We remember Jack Morris’ dominant Game 7 in the 1991 World Series, but conveniently forget his miserable playoff performance the very next year. This is known as confirmation bias, where we collect observations that prove our argument, and throw out the ones that disprove it. This is why science exists, people. Without hard data, our observations can be nearly useless – or worse than useless. ========= |
|